How We Work

    From source to conclusion – every number is traceable, every assumption documented.

    Physical risks are systematically underestimated because the evidence never reaches the models where investment decisions are made. We close that gap with a five-step translation chain: locate each asset, characterise its hazards, quantify the financial impact, place it in your decision context, and deliver auditable evidence.

    The Translation Chain

    Five layers that transform physical hazard data into investment-grade evidence

    01

    Locate

    Fix assets to precise coordinates – not headquarters addresses or aggregated regions. Every building, every facility, every plot individually geolocated.

    Output:Verified asset coordinates with source attribution
    Warum das wichtig ist:

    HQ addresses obscure actual exposure. A portfolio may appear diversified at country level while critical assets are concentrated in the same flood zones.

    02

    Characterize

    For each location: Which physical hazards are relevant? At what intensity and probability? Based on high-resolution hazard data and climate scenarios.

    Gefährdungen:
    Flooding (river, flash, coastal)WildfireExtreme heatWater stressStorm damage
    Szenarien:
    HistoricalRCP 4.5RCP 8.5Various time horizons
    Output:Hazard profiles per asset: exposure intensity, return periods, trend development
    03

    Quantify

    Damage functions translate hazard intensity into financial impact. Not generic, but asset-specific: building type, usage, protective measures, local cost factors.

    Output:Expected damage amounts, default probabilities, insurability assessments
    Warum das wichtig ist:

    This is where climate science connects to financial metrics. The damage function is the critical translation step.

    04

    Contextualize

    Embed financial estimates into your decision context. ICAAP/ORSA requirements? Portfolio stress tests? Deal due diligence? We adapt outputs to regulatory frameworks and internal processes.

    Output:Contextualized risk estimates: NEAR/CEAR-compatible loss metrics, ECL inputs, scenario-specific valuation adjustments
    Warum das wichtig ist:

    Numbers without context are not decision-relevant. We deliver evidence in the format your internal processes and regulators expect.

    05

    Deliver

    Complete evidence packages, tailored to your use case. Every number traceable to source and assumptions. No black box, no opaque score.

    Output:
    Outputs:
    • Asset-specific risk profiles
    • Portfolio aggregations
    • Regulatory documentation
    • Audit trail for every metric

    From Exposure to Impact

    Most physical risk analyses stop at exposure: 'This asset is in a flood zone.' But exposure alone says nothing about the financial consequence. Damage functions close this gap. They model how hazard intensity (e.g., flood depth in cm) leads to physical damage (e.g., % of building value), and how physical damage becomes financial impact (e.g., repair costs, business interruption, insurance premium development). We work with published and internally developed damage functions, adapt them to local contexts, and document assumptions transparently – so you can defend the results.

    Every number we deliver is traceable. No opaque score. No 'the model says so.' You can trace every data point back to its source, follow every assumption, replicate every calculation. This is not optional – this is our standard.

    How You Can Work With Us

    ENTRY

    Focused Analysis

    2–4 weeks of focused analysis for defined assets and hazards. Fixed scope, clear outputs, no open consulting counters. Ideal for deal due diligence, portfolio sampling, or initial risk assessment.

    Typische Kunden: Asset managers during deal evaluation, family offices during portfolio review, banks during ICAAP preparation

    Book a consultation
    DEEP DIVE

    Research Partnership

    Embedded collaboration for complex or recurring analysis requirements. We act as your extended research team for physical risk analysis – scalable, consistent, quality-assured.

    Typische Kunden: Research firms with growing client demand, insurers during portfolio analysis, asset managers during systematic integration

    Explore partnership
    INTEGRATION

    Co-Development

    Joint development of analysis capabilities for your specific requirements. We build with you – not for you. Knowledge transfer and sustainable ownership included.

    Typische Kunden: Institutions looking to build internal physical risk analysis capabilities

    Discuss possibilities

    How we handle your data

    Your data stays under your control. We export only what's needed for the agreed analysis.

    On request, we work completely on-premise – no byte leaves your network.

    Strict confidentiality: NDA, GDPR-compliant, access only for the project team.

    After project end: deletion or handover – you decide.

    No sharing with third parties. No use for our own purposes.

    Ready for robust evidence?

    Start with a focused analysis of your priority assets – investment-grade evidence in 2–4 weeks.

    Book a consultation

    Frequently asked questions about our method

    Flooding (river, flash and coastal), wildfire, extreme heat, water stress and storm damage. Each hazard is assessed per location under historical conditions and the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, across several time horizons.

    A Focused Analysis takes two to four weeks for a defined set of assets and hazards, with a fixed scope and clearly defined outputs. Longer formats exist as a Research Partnership or Co-Development engagement.

    Damage functions translate hazard intensity into financial impact. They are asset-specific rather than generic, so building type and construction matter, and the result is expressed as expected loss, risk contributions and scenario effects.

    Yes. Every data point can be traced back to its source, every assumption can be followed, and every calculation can be replicated. There is no opaque score and no "the model says so" — this is the standard, not an optional extra.

    A complete evidence package tailored to your use case: asset-specific risk profiles, portfolio aggregations, regulatory documentation, and an audit trail for every metric.

    Your data stays under your control and we export only what the agreed analysis requires. On request we work entirely on-premise, so no byte leaves your network. Work is covered by an NDA and is GDPR-compliant, and at project end you decide between deletion and handover.

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